Earnings Preview; Recovery Signals

Today in the podcast, three big things you need to know: First, late last week we lifted our 2023 and 2024 S&P 500 EPS forecasts to $219 and $227, respectively. Second, the rebound in consumer sentiment that’s underway explains a lot about the stock market this year – both have been recovering off recession-like conditions since last year. Third, some of the things that jump out from our high frequency indicators currently are that investor sentiment continues to creep towards overbought territory, and low quality factors have started to perk up within Large Cap. Both speak to the idea that the US equity market is in the midst of one big recovery trade this year.