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49ers - Giants Thursday Night Football DraftKings Milly Maker MME Analysis with DFS_ PhD
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09/20/23
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We talk about custom projections and rules we are thinking of using for the Thursday slate. We talk about: projecting the NYG RB group and projecting the NYG WR group. I suggest overprojecting them and constraining the mix using group rules to model a game where they actually score points. I also talk about using snap counts to guide your gut, using ford and chubb as an example. Yes Ford smashed bc Chubb went down, but he was getting massive snaps even before. We zero in on two plays like that on this slate: Daniel Bellinger and Ronnie Bell. They are out there. They could theoretically catch a pass.
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